Federal EV Tax Credit Phase Out Tracker By Automaker

Updated: Current table below includes sales data from the InsideEVs Monthly Plug-in Sales Scorecard – through February 2019

Manufacturer*

Total Sales
2010 - Mar. 2019**
# To
Reach
200,000
Reached /
Likely
to Reach
200,000
Audi10,218189,7822025
BMW85,888114,1122023
Fiat Chrysler Automotive (FCA)39,855160,1452025
Ford Motor Company114,24788,7532023
General Motors ****211,587-11,5872018 Q4
Honda Motors27,636172,3642025
Hyundai9,157190,8432025
Jaguar1,001198,9992027
Kia13,325186,6752025
Mercedes-Benz19,193180,8072024
Mitsubishi7,004192,9962025
Nissan132,22767,7732021
Porsche10,712189,2882025
Tesla ***382,573-182,5732018 Q3
Toyota Motor Corporation99,918100,0822021
Volvo9,841190,1592024
Volkswagen14,277185,7232023

Notes: *As defined by IRS. BMW includes Mini, FCA includes Chrysler, Mercedes-Benz includes smart | **EV Sales beginning Jan 1, 2010 through February 2019 | Auto sales data: InsideEVs Monthly Plug-in Sales Scorecard; Wikipedia | *** Tesla does not break out sales by geographic market, so these numbers are estimates from InsideEVs | **** GM no longer reports sales data on a monthly basis, but just quarterly – GM numbers are also estimated by InsideEVs | Research & Chart: Loren McDonald / EVAdoption.com

Consumers, analysts, electric vehicle advocates, lawmakers and others are all curious about what will happen to the growth in EV sales when the US Federal EV tax credit begins to phaseout for some automakers. We won’t know of course until the credit phase out actually begins for some manufacturers. Tesla reached the milestone in July 2018 and General Motors reached it in December 2018.

Our view at EVAdoption is that the credit phase out will have only a minor impact on the Tesla Model 3, but could hurt sales of GM’s Chevrolet Bolt pretty significantly, especially with direct competitors (Hyundai Kona, Kia Niro BEVs) coming to market in 2019. However, beyond GM and Tesla, no other automaker is likely to reach the 200,000 unit sales threshold until around 2021-2022 at the earliest.

EVAdoption will update our Federal EV tax credit phase-out tracker every few months, so check back on a regular basis.

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Additional Articles and Resources on the Tax Credits: